Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 4

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	CRB Maceio		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.45	4.55	Watch
	1.79	3.54	5.32
	1.82	3.20	4.84	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.6
	1.73	3.42	4.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.59)	3.42 ↓ (3.82)	4.83 ↓ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
53.3%

Draw
27.3%

Athletic Club
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

24.4%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

22.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CRB Maceio's form might have worsened.

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

CRB Maceio - Athletic Club Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: CRB Maceio will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 22. Bressan 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 36. Lucas Lovat 21. Pedro Castro 50. Luizao 7. Douglas Baggio 10. Danielzinho 97. Dada Belmonte 19. Luiz Phellype	1. Luan Polli (G) 2. Diogo Batista 4. Belezi 3. Jhonatan Silva 6. Zeca (C) 17. Kauan Rodrigues 15. Jota 8. Cabezas G. 7. Bruninho 9. Tavares R. 11. Ruan Assis
Substitutes
16. David Braw 45. De Lucca 17. Guilherme 14. Guilherme Estrella 11. Guilherme Pato 44. Henri 2. Kevin 33. Lyncon 60. Maycon 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 82. Wallace	5. Alexandre Pena 13. Gabriel Indio 12. Glauco (G) 16. Joao Miguel 20. Leo Chu 14. Marcelo Henrique 18. Pedro Oliveira 19. Samuel Otusanya 21. Vera D.
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Alex Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Pedro Castro ⚽, Hereda (A),
45+5', 2 - 0, Douglas Baggio (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Hereda ↓, Kevin ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Tavares R. ⚽, Jota (A),
50', Diogo Batista 🟨,
50', Dada Belmonte 🟨,
61', Bruninho ↓, Leo Chu ↑,
64', Luizao ↓, De Lucca ↑,
64', Luiz Phellype ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
70', Ruan Assis ↓, Vera D. ↑,
70', Cabezas G. ↓, Joao Miguel ↑,
70', Diogo Batista ↓, Marcelo Henrique ↑,
77', Pedro Castro ↓, Wallace ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Tavares R. ⚽, Zeca (A),
83', Bressan ↓, Guilherme Estrella ↑,
88', Jota ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
90+4', Guilherme Estrella 🟨,
90+6', Kauan Rodrigues 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 3, Tavares R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

CRB is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Athletic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CRB is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in CRB: Luiz Phellype (Inactive) Pedro Castro (Injury) Thiaguinho (Inactive)

There will not play in Athletic: Ian Luccas (Red Card) Jhonatan Luiz (Inactive) Rodrigo Gelado (Inactive) Sidimar (Inactive)

There are questionable in CRB: Crystopher Ribeiro (Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Douglas Pele (Injury) Fabricio Isidoro (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, CRB won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	CRB Maceio - Avaí	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	2:4 ✺
25.03.26	Itabaiana - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLT
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Athletic Club - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Criciúma - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Athletic Club - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Sport Recife - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
11.03.26	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.08.25	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	1:0
13.04.25	Athletic Club - CRB Maceio	1:2
Copa do Brasil
12.03.24	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	2:0

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