Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 9

Date: 20 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CS Alagoano		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.5
	1.55	3.4	6.15
	1.63	3.42	6.58
	1.52	3.25	6
	1.56	3.56	6.1	Watch
	1.64	3.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)	3.39 ↑ (2.9)	5.96 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
57.7%

Draw
26.9%

Aparecidense
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

30.7%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

29.5%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

CS Alagoano - Aparecidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Aparecidense will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSA: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dalberson (G) 2. Arnaldo 8. Bastos T. 13. Freitas Barreto P. C. 9. Gabriel Taliari 11. Iago Teles 5. Moises Ribeiro 4. Rafael Forster 27. Rhuan 18. Ruan 25. Yago	1. Pedro Henrique (G) 9. Alex Henrique 2. David 4. Eduardo Thuram 5. Felipe Manoel 7. Guilherme Nunes 8. Naldo 11. Rafa Marcos 10. Raphael Luz 6. Rodrigues 3. Vanderley
Substitutes
23. Almir Luan 28. Borges de Accacio Lima I. C. 16. Bruno Matias 22. Celsinho 3. Ednei 6. Ernandes 29. Jo 99. Luis Felipe 1. Paulo Ricardo (G) 7. Robinho 10. Rodolfo 15. Thiaguinho	21. Caio Callyman 15. Ferreira 19. Jackson 17. Joao Diogo 18. Joao Pedro 13. Leo Rigo 16. Matheus Leal 14. Pedro D. 20. Robert 12. William Menezes (G)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Recent matches CSA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aparecidense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match CSA is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
11.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
08.06.23	CS Alagoano - Manaus	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Altos - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	CS Alagoano - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	CS Alagoano - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTWT
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
11.06.23	Aparecidense - Remo	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Aparecidense - Brusque	0:2 ✺
04.06.23	Ypiranga - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
29.05.23	Aparecidense - Altos	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Figueirense - Aparecidense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWLL

CS Alagoano - Aparecidense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide