Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CS Alagoano		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.7	2.98	5.25
	1.67	3	5
	1.74	3.18	5.1	Watch
	1.74	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.17)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)	4.84 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
52.9%

Draw
28.5%

Brusque
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

30.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brusque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brusque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CS Alagoano - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

CSA will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches CSA won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
14.05.23	Floresta - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Ypiranga - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
04.05.23	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.04.23	CS Alagoano - Internacional RS	2:2 penalties ✺
11.04.23	Internacional RS - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLLL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
14.05.23	Brusque - Volta Redonda	3:2 ✺
06.05.23	Pouso Alegre - Brusque	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	Brusque - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.04.23	Brusque - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Criciúma - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
16.03.23	CS Alagoano - Brusque	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.22	CS Alagoano - Brusque	1:0
26.04.22	Brusque - CS Alagoano	2:0
09.10.21	CS Alagoano - Brusque	4:1
11.07.21	Brusque - CS Alagoano	2:3

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