Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 15

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CS Alagoano		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5
	1.57	3.25	6
	1.65	3.43	6.07
	1.65	3	5.25
	1.62	3.42	5.65	Watch
	1.68	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.83)	3.27 ↑ (2.96)	5.5 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
55.6%

Draw
27.9%

Pouso Alegre
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

30.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

25.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pouso Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

CS Alagoano - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Pouso Alegre will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dalberson (G) 2. Arnaldo 8. Bastos T. 16. Bruninho 3. Ednei 6. Ernandes (C) 9. Gabriel Taliari 11. Iago Teles 15. Junior Todinho 4. Rafael Forster 19. Rhayner	1. George (G) 11. Alason Carioca 8. Carlinhos 10. Claudinho 7. Erick Salles 5. Gabriel Galhardo 26. Ingro 2. Joao Vialle 6. Nathan 3. Rayan (C) 4. Renato Vischi
Substitutes
23. Almir Luan 14. Everton Silva 12. Fintelman (G) 13. Freitas Barreto P. C. 29. Jo 99. Luis Felipe 21. Marciel 17. Ray Vanegas 27. Rhuan 28. Robinho 18. Ruan 25. Yago	19. Bauer C. 14. Cesar 20. Geovane Meurer 15. Igor Maduro 16. Igor Pereira 12. Kennedy (G) 23. Matheus Lucas 17. Richard 18. Vinicius Boff

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Recent matches CSA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pouso Alegre has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match CSA is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
23.07.23	Paysandu - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	CS Alagoano - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Figueirense - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Volta Redonda - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	CS Alagoano - América RN	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTTL
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie C
22.07.23	Pouso Alegre - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Ypiranga - Pouso Alegre	4:1 ✺
09.07.23	Pouso Alegre - Floresta	0:1 ✺
02.07.23	Amazonas - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Altos - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

CS Alagoano - Pouso Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide