Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 12

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday


	Pouso Alegre		Floresta

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.7
	1.85	3	4.25
	1.95	3.14	4.39
	2	2.88	3.6
	1.93	3.1	4.1	Watch
	1.98	3.05	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.24)	3.03 ↑ (2.85)	3.96 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
47%

Draw
30%

Floresta
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

31.8%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

30.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pouso Alegre's performance.

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pouso Alegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Pouso Alegre - Floresta Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pouso Alegre will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Floresta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. George (G) 8. Carlinhos 5. Igor Pereira 26. Ingro (C) 7. Jonathan Junior 3. Luanderson 23. Matheus Lucas 6. Nathan 10. Patrick Allan 4. Renato Vischi 2. Weriton	1. Ze Carlos (G) 3. Alisson 6. Bruno Re 29. Esquerdinha 15. Lucas Alisson 25. Matheus Rocha 8. Ricardinho (C) 28. Rodrigo 11. Romarinho 31. Thiago Alagoano 17. Vitao
Substitutes
25. Bauer C. 16. Cesar 20. Claudinho 13. Derick 17. Emerson Brito 11. Erick Salles 21. Geovane Meurer 15. Igor Maduro 14. Joao Vialle 12. Rafael Pascoal (G) 19. Richard 18. Vinicius Boff	23. Buba 14. Dudu 12. Igor Campos (G) 5. Jo 30. Kieza 26. Leilson 13. Lucas Oliveira 20. Vitor 9. Wendel

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pouso Alegre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pouso Alegre will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie C
02.07.23	Amazonas - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Altos - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
17.06.23	Pouso Alegre - Remo	0:2 ✺
12.06.23	Figueirense - Pouso Alegre	1:2 ✺
07.06.23	Pouso Alegre - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLWT
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
02.07.23	Floresta - Remo	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Brusque - Floresta	2:0 ✺
18.06.23	Paysandu - Floresta	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Floresta - Altos	0:0 ✺
08.06.23	Floresta - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLTW

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