Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Cabecense		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.09	3.25	1.78
	4.07	3.27	1.81
	4.4	3.38	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (4.1)	3.33 ↑ (3.32)	1.77 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cabecense
21.8%

Draw
27.1%

Puente Genil
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.4%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

26.9%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cabecense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Cabecense aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Cabecense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Puente Genil is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Puente Genil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Puente Genil is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cabecense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cabecense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cabecense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.11.23	Pozoblanco - Cabecense	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Conil - Cabecense	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Cabecense - Cartaya	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Cabecense - Sevilla C	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Ceuta B - Cabecense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLT
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.11.23	Puente Genil - Ceuta B	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Xerez CD - Puente Genil	4:0 ✺
29.10.23	Puente Genil - Córdoba B	1:1
22.10.23	Espeleño - Puente Genil	0:3 ✺
15.10.23	Puente Genil - Gerena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.01.22	Cabecense - Puente Genil	2:0
03.10.21	Puente Genil - Cabecense	1:0
03.03.19	Cabecense - Puente Genil	3:1

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