The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Xerez CD 55.1%
Draw 29.1%
Puente Genil 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
28.8%
16.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
27.9%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Xerez CD - Puente Genil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 1.
Xerez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Puente Genil is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Puente Genil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Xerez is the team to beat.
We predict that Xerez will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Xerez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.4:0.4).