Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday


	Cabinteely		Drogheda United

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.5
	5.5	4.4	1.42
	5.5	4.5	1.47
	5.2	4.3	1.51
	5.67	4.76	1.53
	5.8	4	1.47
	5.6	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↑ (4.06)	4.4 ↑ (3.87)	1.49 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cabinteely
16.8%

Draw
21%

Drogheda United
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

23.3%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

19.6%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cabinteely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cabinteely's form might have worsened.

Drogheda United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Drogheda United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabinteely than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.9%	0%	88.1%

Cabinteely - Drogheda United Predictions

Users Predictions: Drogheda United will win (52 of 59 users predict this - 88.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.89% – 96.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Premier Division (Promotion) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Premier Division).

Cabinteely is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Drogheda United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Drogheda United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Drogheda United is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Cabinteely won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Cabinteely won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cabinteely FC
Irish Division 1
16.10.20	University College Dublin - Cabinteely	5:1 ✺
09.10.20	Cabinteely - Longford Town	0:3 ✺
03.10.20	Cobh Ramblers - Cabinteely	1:2 ✺
25.09.20	Cabinteely - Wexford	1:5 ✺
21.09.20	Cabinteely - Galway United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLL
- Drogheda United
Irish Division 1
24.10.20	Drogheda United - Wexford	2:0 ✺
20.10.20	Galway United - Drogheda United	1:3 ✺
02.10.20	Drogheda United - Athlone Town	0:2 ✺
25.09.20	Bray Wanderers - Drogheda United	0:1 ✺
22.09.20	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
07.09.20	Drogheda United - Cabinteely	5:1
Irish Premier Division
25.10.19	Drogheda United - Cabinteely	5:1
18.10.19	Cabinteely - Drogheda United	1:1
Irish Division 1
26.07.19	Drogheda United - Cabinteely	0:0
18.05.19	Cabinteely - Drogheda United	0:5
15.03.19	Drogheda United - Cabinteely	1:4
Irish League Cup
04.03.19	Drogheda United - Cabinteely	0:1

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