The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Drogheda United 41.8%
Draw 28.6%
Galway United 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
26.5%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
28.6%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Drogheda United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Galway United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Drogheda United - Galway United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dennison L. (G) 4. Quinn A. 22. Keeley C. (C) 18. Bolger J. 2. Agbaje E. 15. Bates A. 17. Farrell S. 3. Kane C. 10. Kavanagh B. 14. Doyle M. 9. Ancelin K.
16. Cunha H. (G) 4. Keohane J. (C) 15. Williams W. 2. O'Connor A. 19. Kavanagh L. 30. Kazeem A. 3. Barratt C. 8. Bolger A. 20. Devitt L. 7. Walsh S. 11. Twardek K.
Substitutes
29. Brennan J. 5. Burney L. 31. Cruise K. 24. Davis W. 32. Mare D. 25. Markey R. 8. O'Brien E. 11. Oluwa T. 46. Talley F. (G)
99. Angelini V. (G) 21. Connolly D. 12. Facchineri G. 9. Lomboto F. 24. McCarthy E. 28. Morahan J. 23. Pierrot F. 17. Thiam J.
Coaches
Doherty K.
Caulfield J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Ancelin K. ↓, Oluwa T. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Kavanagh B. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Walsh S. ⚽,
32', Bolger A. 🟨,
39', Bolger J. ↓, Burney L. ↑,
41', Doyle M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Doyle M. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Devitt L. ⚽,
86', Bates A. ↓, Markey R. ↑,
86', Farrell S. ↓, Davis W. ↑,
86', Agbaje E. ↓, O'Brien E. ↑,
89', Kazeem A. ↓, Thiam J. ↑,
89', Twardek K. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
90+3', Kavanagh L. ↓, Facchineri G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 2.
Drogheda United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Galway United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Drogheda United won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Galway United - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Dennison L. (G) 
Quinn A. 
Bates A. 
Cunha H. (G) 
Twardek K. 
Angelini V. (G) 
Pierrot F. 
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