Match Info

Primera Federacion Women - Round 26

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Cacereño		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.57	4.32
	1.48	3.91	6.39	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.45	3.84	6.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	4.06 ↑ (3.6)	5.68 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
61.7%

Draw
22.4%

Real Oviedo
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

21.7%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+5%)

Cacereño - Real Oviedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Oviedo is Relegated to

Recent performances by Cacereño have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oviedo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cacereño is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cacereno W	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
25.04.26	Atlético Madrid B - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Cacereño - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cacereño - Barcelona B	1:5 ✺
14.03.26	Betis - Cacereño	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTLL
- Real Oviedo Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
25.04.26	Real Oviedo - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Real Madrid B - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Real Oviedo - Betis	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
22.11.25	Real Oviedo - Cacereño	2:1
18.12.22	Real Oviedo - Cacereño	0:1

Cacereño - Real Oviedo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide