Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday


	Cacereño		Valencia B

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.4	2.95	2.88
	2.35	3.02	3.11
	2.2	2.8	3.2
	2.34	3.04	3.14
	2.23	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.7)	3 ↑ (2.9)	3.06 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
39.9%

Draw
30.3%

Valencia B
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

30.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

32%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.

Valencia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valencia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valencia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cacereño - Valencia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Cacereño is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Valencia B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.05.23	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	Cacereño - Montijo	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Coria - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Cacereño - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Cacereño	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWTW
- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.05.23	Valencia B - Formentera	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Peña Deportiva - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
03.05.23	Crystal Palace U21 - Valencia B	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.04.23	Valencia B - Atlético Saguntino	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Valencia B - Ebro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWW

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