Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 29

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Valencia B		Formentera

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5
	1.66	3.6	5	Watch
	1.65	3.42	5.54
	1.65	3.42	5.54
	1.65	3.5	5.37
	1.6	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.93)	3.45 ↑ (3.2)	5.34 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia B
56.2%

Draw
26.6%

Formentera
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

27.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia B's performance.

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Formentera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Formentera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valencia B - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Gozalbez P. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Calvo B. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Gozalbez P. ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, Ribeiro I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 4 - 1, Gozalbez P. ⚽,
83', 4 - 2, El Harchi I. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Valencia B is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Valencia B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.03.24	La Nucía - Valencia B	0:6 ✺
17.03.24	Valencia B - Espanyol B	3:2 ✺
13.03.24	CE Europa - Valencia B	3:3 ✺
10.03.24	Hércules - Valencia B	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Valencia B - Lleida	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTTL
- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.03.24	Formentera - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Lleida - Formentera	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Formentera - Badalona Futur	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Formentera - Manresa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.11.23	Formentera - Valencia B	1:3
14.05.23	Valencia B - Formentera	2:2
15.01.23	Formentera - Valencia B	0:1
25.03.18	Formentera - Valencia B	1:1
01.11.17	Valencia B - Formentera	2:0

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