Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Cadiz CF TV


	Cadiz CF B		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	3.05 ↑ (2.85)	2.3 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cadiz CF B
29.1%

Draw
30.5%

Ciudad de Lucena
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

29.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

28.8%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cadiz CF B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cadiz CF B than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Lucena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Cadiz B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ciudad de Lucena is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cadiz B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ciudad de Lucena might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cadiz B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cadiz B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Cadiz CF B	5	1	2	2	4:4	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cadiz CF B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.04.26	Cadiz CF B - Sevilla C	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Linense - Cadiz CF B	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Cadiz CF B - Atlético Onubense	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Pozoblanco - Cadiz CF B	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cadiz CF B - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWTT
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.04.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Tomares	5:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Bollullos	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sevilla C - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Linense	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Atlético Onubense - Ciudad de Lucena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
04.01.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Cadiz CF B	3:0
30.12.18	Cadiz CF B - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.03.18	Ciudad de Lucena - Cadiz CF B	1:1
01.11.17	Cadiz CF B - Ciudad de Lucena	3:1

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