Match Info

Cymru North - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Caersws		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.55	2.08
	2.94	3.81	2.04
	2.94	3.72	2.17	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.02
	2.90	3.94	2.13
	2.75	3.60	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.47)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)	2.09 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caersws
31.7%

Draw
24.6%

Bala Town
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caersws's form might have worsened.

Bala Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bala Town's recent form is better than expected.

Caersws - Bala Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Hesden R. (Penalty Awarded),
26', 1 - 1, Owen J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 2 - 1, Francis-Jones C. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Simmonds O. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Smout I. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th and 4th).

Caersws is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Caersws may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bala Town is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bala	10	6	1	3	20:17	3	19
6	Caersws FC	9	5	2	2	21:14	7	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
26.09.26	Llanuwchllyn - Caersws	2:5 ✺
12.09.26	Caersws - Brickfield Rangers	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Ruthin Town - Caersws	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Caersws - Buckley Town	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Porthmadog - Caersws	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru North
11.09.26	Denbigh Town - Bala Town	5:2 ✺
05.09.26	Porthmadog - Bala Town	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Rhyl - Bala Town	1:3 ✺
31.07.26	Bangor 1876 - Bala Town	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWL

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