Match Info

Cymru North - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Porthmadog		Caersws

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.55	2.8
	2.1	3.97	2.75
	2.19	3.78	2.87	Watch
	2.07	3.9	2.7
	2.11	3.68	2.81
	2.06	3.65	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.9)	3.76 ↓ (4.1)	2.79 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porthmadog
43.3%

Draw
24.2%

Caersws
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

22.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porthmadog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Caersws has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Porthmadog - Caersws Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Edwards T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
72', 1 - 1, Owen M. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Phillips S. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Marks J. ⚽,

Preview

Caersws may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Porthmadog won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Porthmadog won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Porthmadog	10	6	2	2	17:11	6	20
6	Caersws FC	9	5	2	2	21:14	7	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
21.08.26	Denbigh Town - Porthmadog	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Buckley Town - Porthmadog	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Penrhyncoch - Porthmadog	1:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
24.09.25	Porthmadog - Denbigh Town	3:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
19.04.24	Porthmadog - Holywell Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWWL
- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
15.08.26	Rhyl - Caersws	4:2 ✺
01.08.26	Mold Alexandra - Caersws	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Caersws - Denbigh Town	6:0 ✺
13.04.26	Caersws - Buckley Town	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Guilsfield - Caersws	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
17.02.24	Caersws - Porthmadog	1:2
18.11.23	Porthmadog - Caersws	1:1

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