Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Cailungo		Faetano

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.28	3.5	2.58
	2.31	3.44	2.62
	2.56	3.20	2.65	Watch
	2.31	3.46	2.58	Watch
	2.31	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.95)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	2.6 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cailungo
38.6%

Draw
26.5%

Faetano
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

25.1%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cailungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cailungo's performance.

Faetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Faetano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Cailungo - Faetano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 1, Gachewicz O. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 3.

Cailungo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Faetano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Faetano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 2.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Cailungo
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
27.09.25	Cailungo - Juvenes-Dogana	0:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Cailungo - Murata	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Folgore - Cailungo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWTL
- SC Faetano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.09.25	Faetano - Pennarossa	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Folgore - Faetano	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Faetano - Tre Penne	0:6 ✺
29.08.25	Murata - Faetano	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Faetano - La Fiorita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.01.25	Faetano - Cailungo	0:1
31.08.24	Cailungo - Faetano	0:1
21.02.24	Faetano - Cailungo	2:0
29.10.23	Cailungo - Faetano	4:1
06.04.23	Cailungo - Faetano	5:2
10.12.22	Faetano - Cailungo	3:0
21.04.22	Faetano - Cailungo	4:1

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