Match Info

Coppa Titano - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	AC Libertas		Cailungo

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.27	3.37
	1.96	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2)	3.31 (3.31)	3.41 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AC Libertas
46.3%

Draw
27.2%

Cailungo
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AC Libertas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

AC Libertas - Cailungo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Michelucci R. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Quarta A. ⚽, Tomassini F. R. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
104', 🟥,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 1.

In recent matches, AC Libertas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cailungo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AC Libertas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Faetano - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Murata - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWTL
- SP Cailungo
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	La Fiorita - Cailungo	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Cailungo - Faetano	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cailungo - Juvenes-Dogana	0:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	0:1
26.04.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	0:0
11.01.25	Cailungo - AC Libertas	2:2
24.02.24	Cailungo - AC Libertas	0:1
04.11.23	AC Libertas - Cailungo	2:1
08.03.23	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:2

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