Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Cala Pozuelo		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3
	2.04	3.4	3.15
	1.6	4.34	4.09
	1.6	4.61	4.04	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.35
	2.04	3.4	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.98)	3.96 ↑ (3.6)	3.63 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cala Pozuelo
51.4%

Draw
23.3%

Alcorcón B
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cala Pozuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cala Pozuelo's performance.

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cala Pozuelo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Cala Pozuelo - Alcorcón B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Alcorcón B (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcorcón B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In recent matches, Cala Pozuelo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alcorcón B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alcorcón B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cala Pozuelo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cala Pozuelo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cala Pozuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Galapagar - Cala Pozuelo	3:5 ✺
27.04.25	Torrejón - Cala Pozuelo	4:2 ✺
17.04.25	Cala Pozuelo - Trival Valderas	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Alcalá - Cala Pozuelo	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Cala Pozuelo - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLTLW
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Alcorcón B - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Alcalá - Alcorcón B	0:4 ✺
17.04.25	Alcorcón B - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Leganés B - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Alcorcón B - Tres Cantos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.01.25	Alcorcón B - Cala Pozuelo	3:1

Cala Pozuelo - Alcorcón B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide