Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Alcorcón B		Torrejón

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.98	2.52
	3.06	2.44	2.91	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.5	2.8	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	2.57 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
33.2%

Draw
31.9%

Torrejón
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Torrejón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Alcorcón B - Torrejón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Guti ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alcorcón B - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 33.98%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.04.26	Galapagar - Alcorcón B	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Alcorcón B - México	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Tres Cantos - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Alcorcón B - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTLTW
- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.04.26	Tres Cantos - Torrejón	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Torrejón - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Móstoles URJC - Torrejón	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Torrejón - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Racing Madrid - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Torrejón - Alcorcón B	1:0
04.05.25	Alcorcón B - Torrejón	3:1
22.12.24	Torrejón - Alcorcón B	2:2
21.04.24	Torrejón - Alcorcón B	0:0
03.12.23	Alcorcón B - Torrejón	1:1
17.04.22	Alcorcón B - Torrejón	2:1
19.01.22	Torrejón - Alcorcón B	0:1

Alcorcón B - Torrejón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide