Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Calahorra		Intercity

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.8
	3.7	3.25	1.83
	3.7	3.4	1.95
	4.04	3.43	1.9
	4.05	3.4	1.88
	3.8	3.4	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.98)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)	1.87 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calahorra
23.6%

Draw
27.4%

Intercity
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.5%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

28.6%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calahorra's form might have worsened.

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Intercity's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calahorra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Intercity, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Calahorra - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Calahorra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Intercity is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Intercity will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	Atlético Baleares - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Calahorra - Osasuna B	1:4 ✺
07.05.23	La Nucía - Calahorra	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Calahorra - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Cornellà - Calahorra	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLLW
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	Intercity - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Barcelona B - Intercity	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Intercity - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Real Murcia - Intercity	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Intercity - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.01.23	Intercity - Calahorra	1:0

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