Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Murcia		Intercity

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.75
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.78	3.3	4.7
	1.77	3.37	4.58
	1.74	3.31	4.74	Watch
	1.75	3.2	5
	1.78	3.28	4.62
	1.78	3.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.97)	3.28 ↑ (3.13)	4.66 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
52.3%

Draw
28%

Intercity
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia's performance.

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Real Murcia - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 2. Mier J. 6. Gonzalez A. 4. Saveljich E. 21. Cadete 17. Rojas C. 24. Moha Moukhliss 22. Juan Carlos 15. Yriarte J. 7. Buron L. 12. Raul A.	13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 3. Mendibe M. 4. Hernandez A. 22. Montero Sergio 5. Llonch P. 23. Gonzalez N. 10. Martinez B. 11. Roige Rodriguez P. (C) 9. Locadia J. 7. Zequi
Substitutes
9. Benito P. A. P. 16. Boateng R. 11. Carrillo J. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 8. Larrea P. 14. Leon P. 29. Matheus Cadorini 30. Palmberg 13. Piedra I. (G) 19. Soler K. 27. Toral A. 18. Vicente D.	18. Burlamaqui A. 19. De Santis J. 14. Elady 1. Freixanet P. (G) 27. Martinez M. 8. Nsue E. 15. Perez A. 26. Ron K. 21. Sito 25. Zhernovenko I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Montero Sergio ⚽,
34', Gonzalez N. 🟨,
42', San Emeterio B. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Raul A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
61', Buron L. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
61', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Toral A. ↑,
73', Yriarte J. ↓, Boateng R. ↑,
73', Raul A. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
74', Montero Sergio ↓, Sito ↑,
74', Zequi ↓, Elady ↑,
78', Rojas C. ↓, Larrea P. ↑,
87', Roige Rodriguez P. 🟨,
87', Roige Rodriguez P. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
87', Locadia J. ↓, Burlamaqui A. ↑,
89', Perez A. 🟨,
90+4', Larrea P. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murcia won 1.

Murcia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Intercity is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.12.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Ibiza - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Algeciras - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWTT
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.12.24	Intercity - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Intercity	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Intercity - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Intercity - Sevilla B	4:2 ✺
23.11.24	Mérida AD - Intercity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.02.24	Real Murcia - Intercity	0:1
18.11.23	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:0
30.04.23	Real Murcia - Intercity	0:1
04.09.22	Intercity - Real Murcia	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.02.22	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:0
19.09.21	Real Murcia - Intercity	2:0

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