Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Robres		Calamocha

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.98	2.82
	15.30	4.52	1.26	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.4
	2.98	2.91	2.38
	3	2.9	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (2.2)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	2.25 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robres
20%

Draw
32.9%

Calamocha
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robres's form might have worsened.

Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calamocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robres than the current prediction. (+22.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Robres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calamocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Robres - Calamocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Torcal Guiu D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Robres won 2.

Robres has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Calamocha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Robres is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Robres won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Robres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Robres	5	0	1	4	6:13	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Robres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
20.12.25	Robres - Épila	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Huesca B - Robres	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Robres - Belchite	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cuarte - Robres	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Robres - Andorra CF	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTW
- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
21.12.25	Huesca B - Calamocha	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Calamocha - Cuarte	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Illueca - Calamocha	2:4 ✺
23.11.25	Calamocha - Caspe	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Binéfar - Calamocha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
15.04.23	Robres - Calamocha	0:1
11.12.22	Calamocha - Robres	2:0
01.05.22	Calamocha - Robres	0:1
06.01.22	Robres - Calamocha	1:0
31.01.21	Robres - Calamocha	2:2
03.01.21	Calamocha - Robres	3:0
12.01.20	Calamocha - Robres	0:0

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