Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Calamocha		Binéfar

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	1.75	3.3	4.69
	1.89	3.03	4.51	Watch
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.71	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.74)	3.17 ↓ (3.19)	4.57 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamocha
51.4%

Draw
28.7%

Binéfar
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

28.4%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Binéfar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Calamocha - Binéfar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Chicho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamocha won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Calamocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Calamocha is considered a favorite.

We predict that Calamocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Calamocha won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Calamocha won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Binefar	5	2	1	2	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
22.03.26	Casetas - Calamocha	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Calamocha - Zuera	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	La Almunia - Calamocha	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Calamocha - Épila	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Belchite - Calamocha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTT
- CD Binéfar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
22.03.26	Binéfar - Huesca B	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cuarte - Binéfar	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Binéfar - Illueca	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Caspe - Binéfar	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Robres - Binéfar	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
16.11.25	Binéfar - Calamocha	1:2
23.02.25	Calamocha - Binéfar	2:2
13.10.24	Binéfar - Calamocha	1:1
28.03.24	Calamocha - Binéfar	0:0
29.10.23	Binéfar - Calamocha	0:1
08.01.23	Binéfar - Calamocha	1:0
11.09.22	Calamocha - Binéfar	0:1

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