Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Calamocha		Villanueva

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	3.9
	1.74	2.88	4.35
	1.76	3.15	4.4
	1.81	3.06	4.83
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.79	3.38	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.45)	3.2 ↓ (4)	4.63 ↓ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamocha
52.2%

Draw
28.3%

Villanueva
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.6%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

18.6%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calamocha's form might have worsened.

Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+23.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calamocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanueva than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villanueva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Calamocha - Villanueva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 17 (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 17 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Calamocha is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villanueva has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villanueva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Villanueva have a series of home games.

In this match Calamocha is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Calamocha won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
10.02.21	Sabiñánigo - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Calamocha - Cuarte	0:1 ✺
31.01.21	Robres - Calamocha	2:2 ✺
27.01.21	Utebo - Calamocha	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Calamocha - Épila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTLW
- Villanueva CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
07.02.21	Utebo - Villanueva	0:0 ✺
31.01.21	Villanueva - Brea	0:3 ✺
21.01.21	Villanueva - Sabiñánigo	0:6 ✺
17.01.21	Villanueva - Barbastro	0:2 ✺
06.01.21	Villanueva - Épila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
29.11.20	Villanueva - Calamocha	1:1
01.12.19	Villanueva - Calamocha	1:4

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