Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Calamonte		Santa Amalia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	2.72	2.52
	2.93	2.89	2.54	Watch
	2.88	2.77	2.48
	2.8	2.86	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.74)	2.81 ↓ (3.3)	2.53 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamonte
31.6%

Draw
32.4%

Santa Amalia
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27.8%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Calamonte - Santa Amalia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Calamonte has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santa Amalia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santa Amalia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Santa Amalia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Calamonte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.10.25	Azuaga - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Calamonte - Gévora	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Calamonte - Jerez	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Calamonte	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Calamonte - Jaraíz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLT
- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
25.10.25	Santa Amalia - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Jaraíz - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Santa Amalia - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Santa Amalia - Cabeza del Buey	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Santa Amalia - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
13.04.25	Santa Amalia - Calamonte	1:0
01.12.24	Calamonte - Santa Amalia	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
21.04.18	Calamonte - Santa Amalia	4:1

Calamonte - Santa Amalia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide