Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Calamonte		Villafranca

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.92	2.4
	2.85	2.97	2.52
	2.79	2.9	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.81)	2.93 ↓ (3.3)	2.45 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamonte
32%

Draw
31%

Villafranca
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.6%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

26.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+2%)

Calamonte - Villafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Jardon M. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Guerrero A. (Pen),
37', 2 - 1, Touray M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 2 - 2, Guerrero A. ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 0.

Calamonte is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villafranca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Calamonte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.11.25	Don Benito - Calamonte	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Calamonte - Santa Amalia	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Azuaga - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Calamonte - Gévora	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Calamonte - Jerez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.11.25	Villafranca - Puebla de la Calzada	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Jaraíz - Villafranca	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Villafranca - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Villanovense - Villafranca	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Llerenense - Villafranca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.03.25	Villafranca - Calamonte	2:1
11.12.24	Calamonte - Villafranca	1:3
28.04.24	Villafranca - Calamonte	2:1
16.12.23	Calamonte - Villafranca	1:1
05.02.23	Villafranca - Calamonte	1:0
02.10.22	Calamonte - Villafranca	2:0
27.03.22	Calamonte - Villafranca	2:1

Calamonte - Villafranca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide