Match Info

Date: 10 July 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Caldense		Águia Negra

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Caldense
81.5%

Draw
11.5%

Águia Negra
7.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67%

20%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.2%

13.2%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caldense's performance.

Águia Negra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águia Negra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia Negra than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Caldense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Águia Negra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Águia Negra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Caldense is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Caldense
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.21	Patrocinense - Caldense	2:3 ✺
26.06.21	Caldense - Uberlândia	3:1 ✺
20.06.21	Boa Esporte - Caldense	1:1 ✺
13.06.21	Caldense - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
06.06.21	Rio Branco AC ES - Caldense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTLW
- Águia Negra
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.21	Ferroviária - Águia Negra	7:0 ✺
30.06.21	Águia Negra - Patrocinense	4:1 ✺
27.06.21	Águia Negra - Rio Branco-VN	2:2 ✺
20.06.21	Rio Branco AC ES - Águia Negra	2:0 ✺
05.06.21	Boa Esporte - Águia Negra	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTLL

Caldense - Águia Negra