Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)


	Caldiero Terme		Sondrio

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.55	4.85
	1.84	3.55	3.76	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.73
	1.63	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	4.52 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
54.2%

Draw
25.6%

Sondrio
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.8%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Sondrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sondrio than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Caldiero Terme - Sondrio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Caldiero Terme (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Zerbato L. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Marras D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Caldiero Terme is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sondrio is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Caldiero Terme is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Caldiero Terme - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.81%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.11.25	Brusaporto - Caldiero Terme	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Folgore Caratese	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Real Calepina - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Breno	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Oltrepo - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTWT
- Sondrio Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.11.25	Sondrio - Breno	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Sondrio	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sondrio - Chievo	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Club Milano - Sondrio	3:0 ✺
08.10.25	Sondrio - Breno	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLLLW

Caldiero Terme - Sondrio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide