Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)


	Caldiero Terme		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.15	2.35
	2.76	3.31	2.34	Watch
	2.69	3.13	2.38
	2.75	3.2	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.92)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.37 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
33.2%

Draw
28.4%

Folgore Caratese
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Caldiero Terme - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Caneva E. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Caldirola L. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Liberati F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caldiero Terme won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Caldiero Terme won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B
09.11.25	Real Calepina - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Breno	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Oltrepo - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Caldiero Terme - Scanzorosciate	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Chievo - Caldiero Terme	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTLL
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
09.11.25	Folgore Caratese - Breno	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Folgore Caratese - Milan Futuro	2:3 ✺
19.10.25	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Folgore Caratese - Chievo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
07.01.24	Caldiero Terme - Folgore Caratese	2:0
10.09.23	Folgore Caratese - Caldiero Terme	2:1

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