The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calvi Noale 35.1%
Draw 28.2%
Vigasio 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
28.1%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
27%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calvi Noale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Vigasio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvi Noale than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigasio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Calvi Noale - Vigasio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Vranic A. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Vranic A. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 3 - 1, Ejesi R. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ))
Calvi Noale has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vigasio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Vigasio will win today's game, with odds of 2.47.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Calvi Noale won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
Including home matches between the teams, Calvi Noale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Calvi Noale
6
2
2
2
5:5
0
8
Last Results with these Odds
Vigasio - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.6%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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