The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mestre 49.9%
Draw 28.5%
Vigasio 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
28.2%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
27.4%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Vigasio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigasio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Mestre - Vigasio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Bangal F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: )).
Recent performances by Mestre have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vigasio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Mestre is the team to beat.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mestre won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mestre won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Watch
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