Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano		Hércules

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.1
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.2	3.1	2.12
	3.35	2.83	2.47
	3.13	3.1	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.69)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.23 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
28.3%

Draw
30.8%

Hércules
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

21.8%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's form might have worsened.

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Calvo Sotelo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hércules is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hércules will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.11.21	Intercity - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	4:0 ✺
31.10.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Eldense	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Granada B - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - La Nucía	1:2 ✺
10.10.21	Marchamalo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.11.21	Eldense - Hércules	2:2 ✺
31.10.21	Hércules - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	El Ejido - Hércules	0:1 ✺
17.10.21	Hércules - Levante B	0:3 ✺
10.10.21	Pulpileño - Hércules	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWLW

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