Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Camacha		Maria da Fonte

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.25	3.15	2.85
	2.19	3.31	3.26
	2.16	3.38	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.03)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	3 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
41.2%

Draw
28.5%

Maria da Fonte
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.5%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

19%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Maria da Fonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camacha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria da Fonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Camacha is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maria da Fonte is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Camacha will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.11.21	Merelinense - Camacha	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Camacha - União da Madeira	5:0 ✺
07.11.21	Limianos - Camacha	3:2 ✺
31.10.21	Camacha - Câmara de Lobos	3:0 ✺
24.10.21	Vilaverdense - Camacha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.11.21	Maria da Fonte - Vianense	2:0 ✺
14.11.21	Marítimo B - Maria da Fonte	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Maria da Fonte - Forjães	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Merelinense - Maria da Fonte	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Maria da Fonte - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWT

Camacha - Maria da Fonte

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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