The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vilaverdense 24.1%
Draw 29.2%
Camacha 46.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
29.6%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
29.7%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilaverdense's form might have worsened.
Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camacha's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilaverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camacha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vilaverdense - Camacha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Vilaverdense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Camacha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vilaverdense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vilaverdense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Vilaverdense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Vilaverdense - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.53%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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