Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 18

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Camacha		Régua

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.9	6
	1.44	4	6.4
	1.48	3.94	6.34
	1.44	4	6.49
	1.44	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	3.97 ↓ (4.36)	6.33 ↓ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
62.8%

Draw
22.9%

Régua
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20.9%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

20%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Régua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camacha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Régua than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Camacha - Régua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Teles S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Camacha is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Camacha won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.02.25	Leça - Camacha	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Camacha - Beira-Mar	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Machico - Camacha	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Camacha - Guarda FC	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Camacha - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTT
- SC Régua
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.02.25	Alpendorada - Régua	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Régua - Leça	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Beira-Mar - Régua	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Régua - Machico	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Régua - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.09.24	Régua - Camacha	0:1

Camacha - Régua