Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 17

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Alpendorada		Régua

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.6	6.25
	1.48	3.65	6.6
	1.52	3.44	6.54
	1.54	3.54	5.98
	1.48	3.65	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.43)	3.58 ↓ (4.06)	6.39 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
60.5%

Draw
25.3%

Régua
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

22.3%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

21.3%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Régua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alpendorada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Régua than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Alpendorada - Régua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Ronaldo A. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Botelho J. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Meireles H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.01.25	Gondomar - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Marítimo B - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Alpendorada - Cinfães	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWLL
- SC Régua
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.01.25	Régua - Leça	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Beira-Mar - Régua	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Régua - Machico	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Régua - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Salgueiros 08 - Régua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.09.24	Régua - Alpendorada	1:1

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