Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Camacha		Sanjoanense

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.20
	2.20	2.92	3.10
	2.47	2.84	2.82
	2.2	3.05	3.21	Watch
	2.40	2.85	2.75
	2.21	3.18	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.22)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
39.7%

Draw
30.6%

Sanjoanense
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Camacha - Sanjoanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd and 5th).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Recently, Sanjoanense has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Camacha holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Camacha has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Camacha against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Camacha	6	4	2	0	11:5	6	14
6	Sanjoanense	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Camacha - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.31%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Sanjoanense - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.11%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.10.26	União Lamas - Camacha	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
27.09.26	Camacha - Florgrade	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.09.26	Guarda FC - Camacha	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Camacha - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Machico - Camacha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTWW
- AD Sanjoanense
Taça de Portugal
17.10.26	Sanjoanense - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.10.26	Sanjoanense - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Florgrade - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sanjoanense - Alpendorada	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Sanjoanense - Paços de Brandão	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.01.18	Sanjoanense - Camacha	2:0
19.08.17	Camacha - Sanjoanense	2:1

Camacha - Sanjoanense