Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Conde Dias Garcia (São João da Madeira)


	Sanjoanense		Nacional

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.38
	6.00	4.40	1.40
	6.10	4.75	1.36
	7.06	4.56	1.34
	6.5	4.7	1.39
	6.95	4.45	1.32
	5.90	4.87	1.42
	6.80	4.80	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.38 ↓ (10.13)	4.66 ↓ (6.86)	1.38 ↑ (1.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
14.3%

Draw
19.6%

Nacional
66.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.4%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanjoanense's performance.

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Sanjoanense - Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Santos B. (G) . Andrezo D. . Araujo J. . Brandao . Ca J. . Dabo Baba Demonreve . Dias L. . Erick . Gomes Costa S. G. . Martins P. . Ramalho A.	. Joao Goncalves (G) . Cardoso J. . Deivison . Djalo M. . Dongmo D. . Fernandes I. . Jensen M. . Kokolo W. . Labidi C. . Njoya A. . Song Min-Kyu
Substitutes
. 44 . Duarte A. (G) . Henriques R. . Juah J. . Machado D. . Maxwell S. . Rafinha . Silva R. . Zito	. Baeza M. . Gavriel S. . Goncalves C. . Marin R. (G) . Mateus Iseppe . Matheus Dias . Nava F. . Obando A. . Silva J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Dongmo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Maxwell S. ⚽,
83', 🟨,

Preview

Sanjoanense has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nacional has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Sanjoanense has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The betting markets point to Nacional as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.10.26	Sanjoanense - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Florgrade - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sanjoanense - Alpendorada	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Sanjoanense - Paços de Brandão	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.08.26	Sanjoanense - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWT
- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
11.10.26	Rio Ave - Nacional	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Nacional - Famalicão	0:4 ✺
12.09.26	Nacional - Alverca	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Nacional - Estrela da Amadora	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
25.10.26	Nacional - Braga	✺

Sanjoanense - Nacional: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide