Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Campobasso		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.95
	2.25	3	3
	2.46	3	2.65
	2.6	2.98	2.8
	2.5	3	2.88
	2.39	3.25	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.24)	3.02 ↑ (2.97)	2.85 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
37.8%

Draw
30.2%

Paganese
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

22.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Campobasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paganese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Campobasso - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Campobasso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paganese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paganese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.21	Palermo - Campobasso	3:1 ✺
26.09.21	Campobasso - Fidelis Andria	1:3 ✺
18.09.21	Juve Stabia - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
12.09.21	Nuova Monterosi - Campobasso	2:3 ✺
04.09.21	Campobasso - Taranto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTWL
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.21	Paganese - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Bari - Paganese	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Paganese - Taranto	2:1 ✺
12.09.21	Paganese - Catania	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Latina - Paganese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTWWL

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