Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)


	Campobasso		Polisportiva Vastogirardi

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.1	7.25
	1.37	4.18	7.11
	1.38	4.19	7.11
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.36	4.25	7.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	4.24 ↓ (4.5)	6.98 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
65.7%

Draw
21.3%

Polisportiva Vastogirardi
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

18.5%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Polisportiva Vastogirardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Campobasso in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vastogirardi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Campobasso is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Campobasso to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Campobasso won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Campobasso won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie D - Group F
17.03.24	Fano - Campobasso	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Campobasso - Avezzano	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Tivoli Calcio - Campobasso	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Campobasso - Sora	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vigor Senigallia - Campobasso	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWW
- Polisportiva Vastogirardi
Italian Serie D - Group F
17.03.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Termoli	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Chieti - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - United Riccione	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Notaresco - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Real Monterotondo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
22.11.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Campobasso	1:1
26.05.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Campobasso	0:2
23.12.20	Campobasso - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:2
22.12.19	Campobasso - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:2

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