Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Polisportiva Vastogirardi		Termoli

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.87	2.6
	2.56	2.84	2.7
	2.56	2.84	2.7
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.63	2.79	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.97)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.64 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polisportiva Vastogirardi
34.7%

Draw
31.2%

Termoli
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

30.1%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polisportiva Vastogirardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Termoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', Ruggieri S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', Burzio P. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Vastogirardi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Termoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vastogirardi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Vastogirardi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisportiva Vastogirardi
Italian Serie D - Group F
10.03.24	Chieti - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - United Riccione	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Notaresco - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Real Monterotondo	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLT
- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
10.03.24	Termoli - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Avezzano - Termoli	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Termoli - Fossombrone	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Sora - Termoli	3:0 ✺
04.02.24	Termoli - Fano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
05.11.23	Termoli - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:2
12.03.23	Termoli - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:0
06.11.22	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Termoli	1:1

Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Termoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide