Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 16

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday


	Campos		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	4.7	3.87	1.58
	4.26	3.71	1.71	Watch
	4.37	3.65	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (4.1)	3.74 ↑ (3.25)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campos
20.5%

Draw
24.4%

Penya Independent
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

25.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penya Independent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campos than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penya Independent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Campos - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Campos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Penya Independent will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Campos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.01.25	Mercadal - Campos	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Platges de Calvià - Campos	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	Campos - Constancia	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Porreres - Campos	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Campos - Binissalem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 LWLTL
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.01.25	Penya Independent - Santanyí	4:0 ✺
14.12.24	Penya Independent - Felanitx	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Platges de Calvià - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
06.12.24	Formentera - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Penya Independent - Poblense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLW

Campos - Penya Independent: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide