Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Penya Independent		Poblense

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.65
	2.43	3.1	2.75
	2.38	3.09	2.62
	2.41	3.08	2.7
	2.43	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.25)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)	2.69 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penya Independent
37.3%

Draw
29.3%

Poblense
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penya Independent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poblense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Penya Independent - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Penya Independent is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Poblense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Penya Independent could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Poblense have a series of home games.

Penya Independent will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Penya Independent won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.11.24	Collerense - Penya Independent	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Penya Independent - Mercadal	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Penya Independent - Llosetense	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Penya Independent - Constancia	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Portmany - Penya Independent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWT
- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.11.24	Poblense - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
15.11.24	Poblense - Constancia	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Poblense - Porreres	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Binissalem - Poblense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Poblense - Villarreal	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.05.23	Penya Independent - Poblense	1:1
30.04.23	Poblense - Penya Independent	2:3
04.03.23	Poblense - Penya Independent	2:1
30.10.22	Penya Independent - Poblense	2:2

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