Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Nations League - League A - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer, RDS 1, RDS App, TLN, TSN 5, VIVA
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Dominican-republic	CDN Deportes
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport+
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Mexico	TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
Nicaragua	NicaSports
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
International	VIX App


	Canada		USA

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.38	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	2.95	3.25	2.35	Watch
	3.03	3.36	2.29	Watch
	2.98	3.23	2.36	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (4.03)	3.29 ↓ (3.53)	2.3 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

Watch this match and CONCACAF Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)

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Current Win Probability

Canada
30.7%

Draw
28.5%

USA
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26.8%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canada's performance.

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Canada - USA Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Canada will win (votes: 1 - 20%). USA will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. St.Clair D. (G) Minnesota United 2. Johnston A. Celtic 15. Bombito M. Nice 13. Cornelius D. Marseille 19. Davies A. (C) Bayern Munich 6. Choiniere M. Grasshoppers 8. Kone I. Rennes 20. Ahmed A. Vancouver Whitecaps 10. David J. Lille 17. Buchanan T. Villarreal 12. Oluwaseyi T. Minnesota United	1. Turner M. (G) Crystal Palace 2. Carter-Vickers C. Celtic 20. McKenzie M. Toulouse 8. McKennie W. Juventus 19. Scally J. B. Monchengladbach 16. Agyemang P. Charlotte FC 5. Arfsten M. Columbus Crew 14. Luna D. Real Salt Lake 10. Pulisic C. (C) AC Milan 21. Weah T. Juventus 4. Adams T. Bournemouth
Substitutes
3. Bassong Z. Sporting Kansas City 16. Crepeau M. (G) Portland Timbers 22. David P. Royale Union SG 7. Eustaquio S. FC Porto 11. Jebbison D. Bournemouth 4. Knight-Lebel J. Crewe 9. Larin C. Mallorca 18. McGill T. (G) Brighton 21. Osorio J. Toronto FC 14. Shaffelburg J. Nashville SC 23. Sigur N. Hajduk Split 5. Waterman J. CF Montreal	17. Fossey M. St. Liege 12. McGlynn J. Houston Dynamo 6. Musah Y. AC Milan 13. Ream T. Charlotte FC 7. Reyna G. Dortmund 3. Richards C. Crystal Palace 9. Sargent J. Norwich 18. Schulte P. (G) Columbus Crew 11. Tessmann T. Lyon 23. White B. Vancouver Whitecaps
Coaches
Marsch J.	Pochettino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Davies A. ↓, Sigur N. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, David J. (A),
29', Scally J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Agyemang P. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
43', Bombito M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Scally J. ↓, Fossey M. ↑,
55', Marsch J. 🟥,
59', 2 - 1, David J. ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
66', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
66', Buchanan T. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
67', Kone I. 🟨,
69', Pulisic C. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
69', Adams T. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
69', McKennie W. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
78', Agyemang P. ↓, White B. ↑,
86', Choiniere M. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
86', Ahmed A. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
90+6', Reyna G. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Canada won 2.

USA will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Canada won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada
CONCACAF Nations League
20.03.25	Canada - Mexico	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Canada - Suriname	3:0 ✺
15.11.24	Suriname - Canada	0:1 ✺
Friendly
15.10.24	Canada - Panama	2:1 ✺
10.09.24	Canada - Mexico	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWT
- USA
CONCACAF Nations League
20.03.25	USA - Panama	0:1 ✺
Friendly
22.01.25	USA - Costa Rica	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	USA - Venezuela	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
18.11.24	USA - Jamaica	4:2 ✺
14.11.24	Jamaica - USA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
07.09.24	USA - Canada	1:2
Gold Cup
09.07.23	USA - Canada	3:2 penalties
CONCACAF Nations League
18.06.23	Canada - USA	0:2
FIFA World Cup
30.01.22	Canada - USA	2:0
05.09.21	USA - Canada	1:1
Gold Cup
18.07.21	USA - Canada	1:0
CONCACAF Nations League
15.11.19	USA - Canada	4:1

Canada - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide