Match Info

WORLD: SheBelieves Cup Women - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)


	Canada W		Brazil W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.85
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.27	3.35	3
	2.14	3.25	3.11	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.38)	3.31 ↑ (3.07)	2.96 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada W
41.3%

Draw
27.7%

Brazil W
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Brazil W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canada W than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil W than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Canada W - Brazil W Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Canada will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Brazil will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brazil: 77.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sheridan K. (G) San Diego Wave 16. Beckie J. Portland Thorns FC 3. Buchanan K. Chelsea 17. Fleming J. Portland Thorns FC 14. Gilles V. Lyon 9. Huitema J. Reign FC 20. Lacasse C. Arsenal 10. Lawrence A. Chelsea 19. Leon A. Aston Villa 6. Rose D. Leicester 12. Rose J.	12. Taina (G) America Mineiro 2. Antonia (C) Levante 18. Gabi Portilho Corinthians 9. Jheniffer Corinthians 7. Ludmila Atl. Madrid 19. Priscila 3. Tarciane Corinthians 4. Thais Costa Adeje Tenerife 21. Vitoria A. Atl. Madrid 16. Yasmim Corinthians 15. Yaya Corinthians
Substitutes
8. Alidou d'Anjou M. SL Benfica 13. Awujo S. . Carle G. Washington Spirit 18. D'Angelo S. (G) Arsenal 7. Grosso J. Juventus . Karpenko A. (G) 21. Larisey C. Hacken . Regan E. Koge . Scott D. Kansas City Current 2. St.Georges B. North Carolina Courage 11. Viens E. AS Roma 4. Zadorsky S. West Ham	8. Angelina Orlando Pride 22. Barbieri (G) CR Flamengo 11. Cristiane CR Flamengo 13. Fe Palermo Palmeiras 5. Julia Bianchi Chicago Red Stars 23. Lais Estevam Palmeiras 14. Lauren Leal Kansas City Current 1. Lorena (G) Gremio 10. Marta Orlando Pride 17. Ribeiro J. 6. Tamires Corinthians
Coaches
Priestman B.	Ribas Elias A. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Tarciane (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Beckie J. ↓, Awujo S. ↑,
63', Rose D. ↓, St.Georges B. ↑,
72', Jheniffer ↓, Jaqueline ↑,
76', Lacasse C. ↓, Grosso J. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Gilles V. ⚽, Fleming J. (A),
81', Gabi Portilho ↓, Cristiane ↑,
81', Vitoria A. ↓, Angelina ↑,
81', Ludmila ↓, Marta ↑,
84', Huitema J. ↓, Viens E. ↑,
90+3', Taina ↓, Lorena ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Lawrence A. (Pen),
1, Marta (Pen),
2, Leon A. (Pen),
2, Cristiane (Pen),
3, Rose J. (Pen),
3, Antonia (Pen),
4, Awujo S. (Pen),
4, Tarciane (Pen),
5, Grosso J. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Canada won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Canada will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Canada won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada W
Gold Cup Women
06.03.24	Canada W - USA W	2:3 penalties ✺
02.03.24	Canada W - Costa Rica W	1:0 ET ✺
28.02.24	Canada W - Costa Rica W	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Paraguay W - Canada W	0:4 ✺
22.02.24	Canada W - Salvador W	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWW
- Brazil W
Gold Cup Women
10.03.24	USA W - Brazil W	1:0 ✺
06.03.24	Brazil W - Mexico W	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Brazil W - Argentina W	5:1 ✺
27.02.24	Brazil W - Panama W	5:0 ✺
24.02.24	Colombia W - Brazil W	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
31.10.23	Canada W - Brazil W	2:0
28.10.23	Canada W - Brazil W	0:1
SheBelieves Cup Women
19.02.23	Brazil W - Canada W	0:2
Friendly International Women
15.11.22	Brazil W - Canada W	2:1
11.11.22	Brazil W - Canada W	1:2
Olympic Games - Football Women
30.07.21	Canada W - Brazil W	1:0 penalties
Friendly International Women
14.06.21	Brazil W - Canada W	0:0

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