Match Info

Copa América Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 3
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	Caracol TV, Ditu, RCN Television
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen


	Colombia W		Brazil W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.66
	4.6	3.4	1.7
	5.18	3.5	1.73
	5.29	3.15	1.79	Watch
	5	3.9	1.5
	4.76	3.44	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↓ (5.33)	3.47 ↓ (4.05)	1.68 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colombia W
18.8%

Draw
26.5%

Brazil W
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

22.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

22.6%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colombia W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Brazil W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brazil W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colombia W than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil W than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brazil W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colombia W - Brazil W Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brazil (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Tapia K. (G) Palmeiras 17. Arias C. (C) America de Cali 3. Arias D. San Diego Wave 16. Carabali J. Brighton 22. Caracas D. Espanyol 10. Santos L. Washington Spirit 5. Bedoya L. Cruzeiro 20. Izquierdo I. 21. Loboa V. Dep. Cali 9. Ramirez M. Chelsea 18. Caicedo L. Real Madrid	1. Lorena (G) Kansas City Current 13. Fe Palermo Palmeiras 3. Tarciane Lyon 20. Mariza Corinthians 18. Gabi Portilho Gotham FC 5. Duda Sampaio Corinthians 8. Angelina (C) Orlando Pride 6. Yasmim Real Madrid 7. Kerolin Manchester City 11. Gio Garbelini Atl. Madrid 21. Dudinha Sao Paulo
Substitutes
13. Agudelo L. (G) Dep. Cali 2. Alvarez M. Atl. Nacional 14. Baron A. Racing Louisville 15. Bonilla W. UNAM Pumas 4. Guzman A. Utah Royals 19. Minota Y. Pachuca 6. Montoya D. Gremio 7. Pavi M. West Ham 1. Perez C. (G) Werder Bremen 8. Restrepo M. Monterrey 23. Serna L. Albacete 11. Usme C. Galatasaray	9. Amanda Gutierres Palmeiras 2. Antonia Real Madrid 15. Ary Borges Racing Louisville 12. Camila Rodrigues (G) Cruzeiro 14. Claudia (G) Fluminense 16. Fatima Dutra Ferroviaria 23. Isa Haas Cruzeiro 19. Jhonson Corinthians 4. Kaka Sao Paulo 22. Luany Atl. Madrid 10. Marta Orlando Pride 17. Yaya Corinthians

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Caicedo L. ⚽, Ramirez M. (A),
32', Bedoya L. 🟨,
40', Tarciane 🟨,
40', Arias C. 🟨,
44', Dudinha ↓, Amanda Gutierres ↑,
44', Fe Palermo ↓, Isa Haas ↑,
45+3', Tapia K. 🟨,
45+7', Carabali J. 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 1, Angelina (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
69', 2 - 1, Tarciane (Own goal),
72', Loboa V. ↓, Usme C. ↑,
76', Gabi Portilho ↓, Luany ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Amanda Gutierres ⚽, Gio Garbelini (A),
81', Duda Sampaio ↓, Yaya ↑,
82', Gio Garbelini ↓, Marta ↑,
86', Izquierdo I. ↓, Pavi M. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Ramirez M. ⚽, Caicedo L. (A),
90+5', Ramirez M. ↓, Serna L. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 3, Marta ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
103', Mariza 🟨,
105', 3 - 4, Marta ⚽, Angelina (A),
107', Bedoya L. ↓, Restrepo M. ↑,
107', Arias C. ↓, Bonilla W. ↑,
108', Kerolin ↓, Jhonson ↑,
114', Isa Haas 🟨,
115', 4 - 4, Santos L. ⚽,
118', Angelina 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Tarciane (Pen),
1, Usme C. (Pen),
2, Angelina (Pen),
2, Restrepo M. (Pen),
3, Amanda Gutierres (Pen),
3, Pavi M. (Pen),
4, Mariza (Pen),
4, Santos L. (Pen),
5, Marta (Pen),
5, Caicedo L. (Pen),
6, Jhonson (Pen),
6, Bonilla W. (Pen),
7, Luany (Pen),
7, Carabali J. (Pen),

Preview

Brazil is Qualified for Copa America Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colombia won 0.

Colombia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brazil is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brazil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brazil is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colombia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colombia W
Copa America Women
28.07.25	Argentina W - Colombia W	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	Brazil W - Colombia W	0:0 ✺
22.07.25	Colombia W - Bolivia W	8:0 ✺
19.07.25	Colombia W - Paraguay W	4:1 ✺
16.07.25	Venezuela W - Colombia W	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTWWT
- Brazil W
Copa America Women
29.07.25	Brazil W - Uruguay W	5:1 ✺
25.07.25	Brazil W - Colombia W	0:0 ✺
22.07.25	Paraguay W - Brazil W	1:4 ✺
16.07.25	Bolivia W - Brazil W	0:6 ✺
13.07.25	Brazil W - Venezuela W	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa America Women
25.07.25	Brazil W - Colombia W	0:0
Friendly International Women
29.10.24	Brazil W - Colombia W	3:1
26.10.24	Brazil W - Colombia W	1:1
Gold Cup Women
24.02.24	Colombia W - Brazil W	0:1
Copa America Women
30.07.22	Colombia W - Brazil W	0:1
22.04.18	Brazil W - Colombia W	3:0
South American Championship Women
28.09.14	Colombia W - Brazil W	0:0

Colombia W - Brazil W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide