Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Canillas		México

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.46	3.15	2.63
	2.49	3.25	2.64	Watch
	2.53	3.42	2.63
	2.55	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.89)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.6 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canillas
36.5%

Draw
28.3%

México
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.4%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

28.3%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canillas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+5%)

Canillas - México Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Gil Pulgar D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 1 - 1, Apostu A. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Apostu A. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).

Recent matches Canillas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

México is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

México could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Canillas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.25	Parla - Canillas	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Canillas - Villaverde San Andrés	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Las Rozas - Canillas	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Cala Pozuelo - Canillas	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Canillas - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWLLL
- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.02.25	México - Alcorcón B	3:2 ✺
09.02.25	Torrejón - México	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	México - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Rayo Vallecano B - México	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	México - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.10.24	México - Canillas	3:1

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