Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Villaverde San Andrés		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.15	3.25	2.11
	3.16	3.28	2.14	Watch
	3.16	3.15	2.15
	3.15	3.25	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.81)	3.23 ↓ (3.43)	2.12 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villaverde San Andrés
29.1%

Draw
28.1%

Alcalá
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.5%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

27.5%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villaverde San Andrés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villaverde San Andrés's performance.

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villaverde San Andrés than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villaverde San Andrés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villaverde San Andrés - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Portero A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villaverde San Andrés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.01.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Leganés B - Villaverde San Andrés	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Villaverde San Andrés - Tres Cantos	2:0 ✺
06.12.24	Carabanchel - Villaverde San Andrés	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Villaverde San Andrés - El Álamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWWTT
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.01.25	Las Rozas - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Alcalá - San Sebastian Reyes	2:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.12.24	Alcalá - Canillas	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	2:4 ✺
08.12.24	Alcalá - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.09.24	Alcalá - Villaverde San Andrés	3:1
17.04.22	Alcalá - Villaverde San Andrés	2:0
19.01.22	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcalá	0:1
05.06.21	Alcalá - Villaverde San Andrés	3:1
19.05.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcalá	1:3
02.02.20	Alcalá - Villaverde San Andrés	3:0
15.09.19	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcalá	0:0

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