Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 33

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Canvey Island		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.55	1.81
	3.94	3.63	1.84
	3.79	3.67	1.81
	3.82	3.55	1.8
	3.8	3.55	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.08)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
23.9%

Draw
25.5%

Dover Athletic
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

25%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

24.1%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canvey Island's form might have worsened.

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Canvey Island - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Canvey Island is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dover is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Canvey Island could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dover is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Canvey Island won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.02.25	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	4:0 ✺
15.02.25	Canvey Island - Bognor Regis Town	0:4 ✺
08.02.25	Carshalton Athletic - Canvey Island	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Canvey Island - Bowers & Pitsea	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Canvey Island - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW
- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.02.25	Dover Athletic - Whitehawk	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Wingate & Finchley - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Dover Athletic - Carshalton Athletic	1:3 ✺
28.01.25	Dover Athletic - Lewes	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Bognor Regis Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.11.24	Dover Athletic - Canvey Island	3:2

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