Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 9

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: John Frederick Park (Redlands)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Capalaba		North Star

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.7	2.1
	2.52	3.75	2.22
	2.58	3.99	2.33
	2.48	4.06	2.38	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.2
	2.47	4.25	2.33	Watch
	2.56	3.75	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.56)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	2.26 (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capalaba
36.1%

Draw
23.5%

North Star
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

24.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

23.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capalaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

North Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Star than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Capalaba - North Star Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Capalaba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

North Star is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capalaba FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
17.04.26	Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Capalaba - Redlands United	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	St. George Willawong - Capalaba	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Capalaba - Broadbeach United	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Capalaba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWLT
- North Star
Australian Queensland Premier League
18.04.26	North Star - Ipswich FC	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	North Star - Holland Park Hawks	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Redlands United - North Star	5:0 ✺
20.03.26	North Star - St. George Willawong	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Broadbeach United - North Star	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWT

Capalaba - North Star: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide